HornsCorner - Game Recap: Texas vs Texas Tech (2019) - NinosCorner Sports | Efficient Sports Analytics...Successful, Relevant Data

Sunday, December 1, 2019

HornsCorner - Game Recap: Texas vs Texas Tech (2019)


HornsCorner - Game Recap: Texas vs Texas Tech (2019)
by Nicholas "NinosCorner" Battle
Texas won their final contest of the 2019 regular season by dominating an overmatched Texas Tech team by the score of 49-24.  As convincing of a win as this game was, my thoughts immediately following this game were, "how come the Longhorns don't play with this sense of urgency and grit all the time?"

Texas was crisp on offense, completing 12 explosive plays (plays of 15 yards or more).  They were also very efficient, tallying an offensive success rate (OSR) of 54.7% for the entirety of the game (NCAA average is 40%).  The Longhorns posted over 600 yards of total offense, while scoring seven touchdowns.  I understand that Texas Tech isn't the best of teams; however, the Longhorn offense did whatever they pleased on Friday afternoon.  All considering, there is absolutely no excuse for Texas to score an abysmal 10 points against Baylor and only 21 points against Iowa State, no matter how good their defenses are.

The play-calling this season was very predictable, and that's saying it generously.  The lack of quarterback designed runs was an absolute foul this season, and the inability to have a viable backup to Colin Johnson was a complete game changer.  Additionally, the Texas offensive line regressed significantly throughout the season.  Against LSU, a team boasting 3 draft picks along the defensive line this upcoming April, the Longhorns offensive line was the more physical line at the point of attack.  The defensive lines of Iowa State, Baylor, West Virginia, and Kansas fared better against the Texas offensive line than LSU.  I'm not saying these respective Big XII teams do not have good players; however, to suggest their defensive lineman are anywhere near what LSU has to offer is absurd. This unit's regression is inexplainable. 

The Texas defense also played very well against Tech.  They accumulated 5 sacks, with an additional 4 tackles for loss throughout the game.  They only allowed 24 points, which is outstanding in the Big XII.  If you can limit your opponent in this offensive driven conference to 28 points or less, your defense has definitely done its job. 

The Longhorn defense played well the last four games; however, they were not consistent at all.  They were extremely inconsistent, giving up 48 points to Kansas (yes...I really typed 48 point and Kansas in the same sentence), and continually never got off the field on 3rd down and long throughout the entire season (3rd and 17 happened too many times).  The Texas defense was outplayed  early and often in almost every game, resulting in the Texas offense being down 10 - 14 points in many of their contest during the season. The lack of in-game preparation and adjustment for the majority of the season has hampered this team tremendously. Hell, even in this game against Texas Tech, the defense played well but still gave up far too many explosive plays.  The Red Raiders passed the ball 76% of the time on Friday, basically diagraming their exact game plan, and Texas still allowed 12 explosive plays to Texas Tech's 3rd string quarterback.  To be "back," this type of inconsistency is inexcusable.

BATTLE'S THOUGHTS:
- This Texas offense and defense is consistently inconsistent
- Devin Duvernay being left off of the Biletnikoff list is a total joke
- Roschon Johnson's aggressive running style and play is infectious...the kid can ball
- Ehlinger's running ability in this game left me wondering "where was this all season?"
- Marquez Bimage should have probably played more this year on the defensive line
- Since we're talking about the defensive line, our current group of players may be better suited in a 4-3 defense
- This team starts off too slow on both sides of the ball far too often (literally every game)
- Jake Smith will slide right into Duvernay's position next year fairly seamlessly
- Junior Angilou is a good player, but I believe our offensive line played better when Kerstetter moved to right guard and Okafor played right tackle
- Overshown will be a hell of a player next year
- Sterns' injuries have held him back this year, but his presence of the field was necessary
- Speaking on Sterns, I cannot wait to see a defensive backfield next year of Foster, Sterns, Overshown, Green, and Cook/Jamison
- The battle for CB2 between Cook, Jamison, and Watson should be really good in 2020

BattleStat Number Definition
The BattleStat Number (BSN) for the analysis of a team showcases how efficient a team is by calculating the offensive and defensive productivity of a team. These numbers are categorized into two sections…Offense (BSN-OFF) and Defense (BSN-DEF). To calculate the BSN-OFF and BSN-DEF, Offense and Defense Success Rates (OSR and DSR) will be analyzed to illustrate how successful and effective a team is.  OSR and DSR are calculated by accomplishing successful plays.  Successful plays occur when a play gains enough yardage to keep an offense progressing towards a 1st down (50% of yardage on 1st down, 70% on 2nd down, or 100% on 3rd/4th down).  A higher number equates to a better overall score.

BSN-OFF


BSN-DEF

QUARTERBACK COMPARISON

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