Player Spotlight: Chuba Hubbard - NinosCorner Sports | Efficient Sports Analytics...Successful, Relevant Data

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Player Spotlight: Chuba Hubbard

Player Spotlight:  Chuba Hubbard
by: Nicholas "NinosCorner" Battle
Oklahoma State running back, Chuba Hubbard, returns to the Big XII as one of the more explosive backs in the conference.  He was able to amass 740 yards on the ground, at 6 yards/attempt, netting 7 rushing touchdowns; while also catching 22 balls for 229 yards at a 10.4 yards/reception and an additional 2 touchdowns.

For most running backs, 969 yards from scrimmage would be an outstanding season, but for Hubbard, this is just the beginning.  Hubbard has the ability, this season, to increase his numbers drastically due to him being the primary feature back within the Oklahoma State backfield.  Last year, he shared carries with current Baltimore Ravens 4th round pick, Justice Hill.  The tandem rushed for 1630 yards combined, and caught 297 yards worth of passes.

Although Hill may have been the more explosive running back, Hubbard was the more "steady" and "complete" back on the team.  He did not have one single rush over 33 yards; however, his 6 yards/attempt led all running backs on the team.  In addition, Hubbard also led all running backs on the team with 22 receptions, allowing him to be a complete 3-down back in the Big XII.

Hubbard's BattleStat Number (BSN) was 54.3 for rushing and 65.6 for receiving.  His cumulative BSN rate for rushing and receiving was 55.8.  Hubbard's BSN-rushing is comparable to NFL running backs such as Matt Brieda of the 49ers and James Connor of the Steelers.  The key stat limiting Hubbard's BSN-rushing rate is his turnover rate, where he tallied 4 fumbles in the 2018 season.  If Hubbard would have fumbled only once during the season, his BSN-rushing would have been comparable to Kareem Hunt and Melvin Gordon; of which both running backs finished in the top 8 of BSN-rushing rates in the NFL.  Hubbard's 65.6 BSN-receiving rate would have finished 5th in the NFL rankings, ahead of the likes of Saquon Barkley, Tevin Coleman, and Ezekiel Elliott.  He's a true game changer as a receiver out of the backfield.

Hubbard is poised to have a breakout year in 2019.  Key areas of his game that I will be watching for this year is if he can limit his fumbles, as well as increase his explosive run rate.  Hubbard currently produces an explosive run rate on nearly 9% of his carries.  Ideally, you would like to see that number over 10%.  This year will be Hubbard's Redshirt-Sophomore year.  If his season skyrockets to his potential, I could easily see him being in the discussion as a Doak Walker award finalist.

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